In two separate incidents, attackers allegedly using “turban bombs” recently assassinated two prominent Afghan politicians. I wonder if this admittedly low number of events will nonetheless (due to the potentially high individual and social cost) cause a shift in cultural practice such that Afghan men will be asked to take off their headgear prior to meetings with powerful men. Or will tradition/culture outweigh prudence? And will a substantial number of politicians signal their manliness by not asking guests to do so and thus prevent an otherwise rational spontaneous evolution in cultural practices? Or would such requests or a shift in culture be irrational responses to low probability events?