Romney-Bachmann, 2012

There are at least a half dozen credible candidates to win the GOP nomination for President.  In fact there are so many that they are all unlikely to win.  But the most likely of the “unlikelies” is Mitt Romney—though I wouldn’t put any money on that prediction.  Perry is a threat and Christie is a threat, but none of the current crop is likely to topple him Romney from his front-runner status.

Should this prediction pan out, I think the politically prudent choice of a running mate is Michelle Bachmann.   I think she will make a run at Romney in the primaries and may win in Iowa, but I don’t think she has the organization or the reputation to go the distance.  She and Mitt will feud over his record on abortion and health care, among other things, but I don’t see that battle going nuclear.  He probably isn’t impressed with her, but if anyone is prepared to sacrifice his personal views for the sake of political expediency, it is Mitt Romney (he became pro-choice when it was expedient to do so and pro-life when it was expedient to do so).

What she will provide for him is rock solid support among the Tea Party base, enormous fund-raising ability, and the lack of a Y chromosome.   She is sort of the turbo-charged version of Sarah Palin.  She has all the qualities that made Palin a good pick, but not so many of the bad ones.  Palin lacked any sort of national experience or a grasp of the national or international issues.  Bachmann, on the other hand, has experience as a tax lawyer and has been in Congress for a decade.  Most important, she has been under the heat lamp of the national press for a long time.  They hate her more than they grew to hate Palin, but as a VP, her feisty relationship with the press will be good because it will draw press.  VP candidates are supposed to be pit bulls.  She is also reasonably smart and articulate (though with her share of gaffes), whereas as Palin is, though it is not kind to say, rather dim.  And, to boot, Romney-Bachmann will make the most beautiful ticket since, well, forever.

Just remember, you heard it here first!

Postscript: I blogged a few months back on whether Jon Huntsman could pull off the nomination.  He is another Unlikely, probably very unlikely.   I do agree with Stanley Fish who writes the following today:  “Well-spoken, well-heeled, well-informed, smart, fresh-faced and cheerful, a good administrator, slightly progressive on social issues, conservative economically and savvy about foreign policy — Huntsman is an independent’s dream and the Democrats’ nightmare.”  Of course caring about electability isn’t a strong suit of the Republican primary voter (e.g: Christine O’Donnell, Sharon Angle, etc. etc.).  Indeed President Obama’s greatest electoral asset is the Republican primary voter.

Post-postscript: Because of their Utah ties, both Romney and Huntsman interest me, but I’m not a supporter of either of them.

Post-post-script: The other obvious contender for VP is Marco Rubio.  He would be a very advantageous pick and might beat out Bachmann.

13 thoughts on “Romney-Bachmann, 2012

  1. Romney and Bachman as the most beautiful ticket? Yaaaaawn.

    Bachman has 20 times the gaffes that Biden has. Plus, ever since she neglected to omit the year 2008 in her response to the State of the Union speech, in which she tried to pin all the debt of the Bush administration on Obama, I have been convinced that she is a threat, not to any candidate, but to America.

    If this is your idea of a dream ticket then I will sit this one out.

  2. Of course caring about electability isn’t a strong suit of the Republican primary voter

    Is this true of presidential races? There aren’t really enough (or any) statistics, since there have been no such elections since the Chicago Tea Party. However, in 2008, they did pick the most centrist possible candidate.

  3. Good point. We’ll see which feeling is stronger: the desire for an in-your-face conservative firebrand or the desire to beat Obama. They can’t have both.

  4. I must confess that these potential lineups make my 2012 election choice simple. Do I dislike the Obama administration so much that I will vote for whomever the Republicans nominate just in the hope of getting rid of him, or do I continue to protest and vote Libertarian.

    PS: Margaret Thatcher for President.

  5. Any ticket with Romney on the top of it will make me instantly pull the protest vote lever otherwise known as the LP. Any perpetual candidate who wants to be President this bad has to be suspect – not to mention that RomneyCare and his defense of it well after the point make him unable to challenge ObamaCare effectively.

  6. I think you underestimate the ability of the Paultards and the Tea Partiers to destroy milquetoast candidates like Romney in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada. Bachmann will find her level in South Carolina. It won’t be until after that carnage is over that we can even begin to fathom an educated guess about a front runner.

  7. Romney will not win the nomination – except possibly by the failure of the others – for reasons of substance on policy and that he is a Mormon. I like the guy, having seen him in practice as the governor of Massachusetts (my home state). I certainly disagree with him on healthcare, but think he governed well otherwise. The broader electorate is still suspicious enough of the Mormon church and, thus, its adherents, that they won’t vote in significant numbers for Mitt. In 2011 I see that for many in polite society it is still okay not to trust Mormons just because they are Mormon. That may be because I live in the twisted State of MA (home of three consecutive convicted State Senate Presidents), but it seems more broadly true nonetheless.

  8. PRESIDENTS DONT MAKE THE TIMES. THE TIMES MAKE THE PRESIDENT. I PREFER A PROVEN WINNER IN BUSINESS WHO RECOGNIZES THAT OTHER NATIONS WANT WHAT WE HAVE AND WILL FIGHT TO PROTECT IT. ON A LIGHTER BUT JUST AS IMPORTANT NOTE, THE INSTITUTION OF MARRIAGE IN OUR CULTURE IS UNDER FIRE AND FAILING OUR FUTURE GENERATIONS WITH ONE PARENT HOUSEHOLDS. WHO BETTER TO BACK A STRONG HAND THAN A HUGE HEART? BACHMAN HAS HOW MANY FOSTER KIDS? THINK IT THROUGH AMERICA. ROMNEY/BACHMAN 2012.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s